Box Office Estimates for March 13-15

Todd Thatcher

Three new releases are up for our FML consideration in an uncertain weekend with faith-based drama "I Still Believe" (from the creators of the unexpected hit "I Can Only Imagine"), Vin Diesel's comic book based action flick "Bloodshot", and the delayed Blumhouse thriller "The Hunt".


Todd from toddmthatcher.com here bringing you my thoughts on what to expect. Pixar's "Onward" posted an underwhelming debut and especially for its studio. The sub $40 million start is rare for Pixar and it will hope for a soft sophomore dip. I'm not sure it gets that lucky. My high teens projection is on the low end of its range, but it burned me already and I'm leery to screen it this time around.


That's mostly because I'm buying the higher end of expectations for "I Still Believe" and have it as my runaway BP. As for "Bloodshot" and "The Hunt", I'm not optimistic and predicting neither hits double digits. A reminder: for those wondering where "My Spy" with Dave Bautista is, it got delayed yet AGAIN until mid April.


The aforementioned uncertainty is due to the Coronavirus. While very far from the most important thing to think about, its impact on the box office is still an open question that only the days ahead can answer.


Here's my take on the 15 selected features:


"Onward" - $19.8 million
"I Still Believe" - $14.8 million
"Bloodshot" - $9.6 million
"The Invisible Man" - $8 million
"The Hunt" - $7.7 million
"The Way Back" - $4.5 million
"Sonic the Hedgehog" - $4.1 million
"The Call of the Wild" - $3.5 million
"Emma" - $3.3 million
"Bad Boys for Life" - $2.1 million
"Birds of Prey" - $1.2 million
"Jumanji: The Next Level" - $837,000
"1917" - $692,000
"Brahms: The Boy II" - $535,000
"Fantasy Island" - $328,000


So, as of now, I believe in "I Still Believe" 4x along with double showings of "Bad Boys" of "Birds of Prey". What say you?