Box Office Estimates for September 20-22

Todd Thatcher

I had to convince myself that "Downton Abbey" would edge out "Rambo: Last Blood" and "It Chapter Two" for the #1 spot at the box office on this fascinating weekend ahead of us. That is clearly NOT a dilemma shared by our FML pricing gods as they have "Abbey" easily winning the derby.

Todd from here bringing you my best take on a weekend where Sly Stallone and Brad Pitt from "Ad Astra" look to find an audience while "Abbey" hopes to rule the charts. And we also have the premiere of the Double Feature which pairs the grosses of "Good Boys" and "The Lion King".

This third frame of September has been circled on my end for some time. It's unpredictable and FML has thrown some further unpredictability into it. I'm not buying "Abbey" going as high as ticketed here. And I'm on the low end of expectations with "Astra"... just not as low as this site.

So it all shakes out to be an extremely Pitt heavy lineup with that new double feature making a cameo. Here's how I have the selected features performing:

"Downton Abbey" - $20.8 million
"Rambo: Last Blood" - $20.4 million
"It Chapter Two" - $18.9 million
"Ad Astra" - $16.9 million
"Hustlers" - $16.2 million
"Good Boys"/"The Lion King" - $5.5 million
"Angel Has Fallen" - $2.5 million
"Hobbs & Shaw" - $1.6 million
"Overcomer" - $1.6 million
"The Peanut Butter Falcon" - $1.5 million
"Brittany Runs a Marathon" - $1.3 million
"Dora and the Lost City of Gold" - $1.2 million
"The Goldfinch" - $1.1 million
"Once Upon a Time in Hollywood" - $988,000
"Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark" - $822,000

And that leaves me flying with "Astra" 4x along with the Double Feature and "Hollywood" 3x. What say you?