Box Office Estimates for September 13-15

Todd Thatcher

Two films that garnered very different Toronto Film Festival reactions over the weekend hit theaters Friday while a Sundance Film Festival favorite also arrives for our FML consideration.


Todd from www.toddmthatcher.com here bringing you my take on the frame ahead. "Hustlers" looks to make a potent showing in second after its unexpectedly strong reaction up north. Jennifer Lopez is even receiving Oscar chatter. I believe $30 million is possible, but I'm putting it just a touch under. That's enough for an anchor play.


"The Goldfinch" did not get a pleasing Toronto reception and I've dwindled my projection down considerably. It should still hit third and even with my poor forecasted showing, it still manages to get space in my lineup due to my holdover projections.


My "Brittany" prediction may rise dependent on theater count, but I don't feel comfortable at the moment playing it.


As for "It Chapter Two", it achieved the second highest September debut ever (and for the horror genre period) after... "It". Opening on the lower end of its anticipated spectrum, I see it dipping in the mid 50s for the sophomore outing (chapter one dropped 51%).


Here's how I have the selected features performing:


"It Chapter Two" - $40.2 million
"Hustlers" - $28.6 million
"The Goldfinch" - $5.7 million
"Angel Has Fallen" - $3.3 million
"Good Boys" - $3.1 million
"The Lion King" - $2.8 million
"Hobbs & Shaw" - $2.3 million
"Overcomer" - $2.3 million
"The Peanut Butter Falcon" - $1.6 million
"Brittany Runs a Marathon" - $1.4 million
"Dora and the Lost City of Gold" - $1.2 million
"Once Upon a Time in Hollywood" - $1.2 million
"Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark" - $1.1 million
"Ready or Not" - $1.1 million
"The Angry Birds Movie 2" - $846,000


And that leaves me rolling with the "Hustlers" and a "Goldfinch" and "The Lion King" 6x. What say you?