Box Office Estimates for August 16-18

Todd Thatcher

Well... when you have the highest priced FML flick placing fifth in your estimates, you know it's going to an interesting and topsy turvy weekend coming up!


Todd from www.toddmthatcher.com here bringing you my take on what's ahead as yet another quintet of newcomers are here for our consideration. We have animated sequel "The Angry Birds Movie 2", shark sequel "47 Meters Down: Uncaged", raunchy preteen comedy "Good Boys", British import "Blinded by the Light", and mystery comedy "Where'd You Go Bernadette" from director Richard Linklater.


As mentioned, "Uncaged" gets the benefit of top pricing. I have it barely topping double digits for a fifth place showing. "Birds" is the play for me... for now. It opens Tuesday and we will all have the benefit of daily grosses during the week. My mid to high teens guesstimate causes it to be my anchor.


There's also four holdovers in their second frame and I believe "The Art of Racing in the Rain" will have the smallest dip. That means it ranks as my BP.


Bottom line: unless the Thursday preview numbers makes the partial lineup pretty obvious (as it did this past weekend with "Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark")... this could be a weekend of extreme variety in what to play. And I expect reconfigurations along the way.


Here's how I have the selected features performing:


"The Angry Birds Movie 2" - $17.2 million
"Good Boys" - $12.9 million
"Hobbs & Shaw" - $12.8 million
"The Lion King" - $11.1 million
"47 Meters Down: Uncaged" - $10.2 million
"Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark" - $10 million
"Dora and the Lost City of Gold" - $9.3 million
"Once Upon a Time in Hollywood" - $7.1 million
"Blinded by the Light" - $5.8 million
"Where'd You Go Bernadette" - $5.6 million
"The Art of Racing in the Rain" - $5 million
"Spider-Man: Far From Home" - $3.4 million
"Toy Story 4" - $2.8 million
"The Kitchen" - $2.4 million
"The Farewell" - $1.6 million


And that leaves me currently flying with the "Birds" 3x along with "Good Boys" and a 4x "Racing" screening. What say you?