Would you like to build a lineup?
Each Thursday I'll give a little breakdown on how to build your lineup with the information readily available to everyone, especially if you don't know where to start.
this can always change pending preview numbers and are by no means a guarantee to win
FML Legend (so you aren't completely lost)
BP - Best Performer; earns you an extra $2 million to your cinema, this is the "highest Box Office per FML Buck"
PC - Perfect Cineplex; earns you an extra $5 million to your cinema, this when you elect the perfect lineup "resulting in the highest possible total Box Office score plus any bonuses already earned."
WP - Worst Performer; this is the worst movie based on Box Office per FML Box spent
TC - Theatre Count; how many theatres the movie will be appearing in, this will up or down depending on how long the movie has been out for, special events etc
BB/Bar - Bonus Bar; this is the predicted value a movie needs to meet/exceed to be your BP contender.
Holdover - a movie that is in its second or more week on the slate.
Slate - the 15 movies you get to choose from each week :)
Anchor - The movie most likely to helm your cineplex; this can be anything from the movie that will make the most Box Office money over the weekend, or multiples of the same movie that helms your cineplex.
GOAT - 20th Century Flops. No more information required. :D
Another week down and many at the top of the Season Showdown are 5/5 with the PC. "Aladdin" won't quit and takes the BP, showing a really storing FML performance its entire run so far.
This week's Cineplex Builder is set at $75k. You know the drill; adjust, refine and see what lines it comes up with for your estimates.
Guyett set the Bonus Bar at $80k. One point he mentioned is horror fatigue. We have 4 movies on the slate that could be classified as horror so the question is, will there still be an audience for "Crawl" when they've already spend all their money on other horror films that have been released so recently.
The BSA is advising against "Stuber" this week. BSWhite is thinking that buddy movies have had their day in the sun, or perhaps waiting for a different summer buddy movie to come along.
Phil is back from vacation (we missed you last week!) and has "Men In Black", "Child's Play" and "Godzilla" DOA. Odds are they will be losing too many theatres to factor into the PC. He also noted that "Rocketman" saw a bit of an uptick and you should adjust accordingly.
The Drive In Report is reporting 235 Drive Ins this week."Men In Black" still gets the lion's share of the pairings with "Spider-Man: Far From Home" but it's interesting to note that "Annabelle Comes Home" is holding her own with 71 pairings.
Waco Kid (Happy Birthday!!!) and Nux are featured again this week. With the demise of the AK Valley tracker, the comps in this thread for new releases are even more important than before when trying to come up with estimates.
BOP is banking on "Men In Black" to not lose too many theatres, having it as their top choice for BP. It's followed by "The Secret Life of Pets 2" and "Toy Story 4". I'd lean more towards the other two than "Men In Black" due to the potential TC loss.
BOR has a different 6x play line, having "Avengers: Endgame" as his BP choice. This is followed by "Toy Story 4" then "Annabelle Comes Home". Normally I'd stop there but he also has "Secret Life of Pets 2" within spitting distance of "Annabelle Comes Home" and give or take a couple thousand, that could flip them.
Mojo agrees with BOR again this week, having "Avengers: Endgame" well above the rest. The next closest is "Toy Story 4", then well below that is "Annabelle Comes Home". Mojo seems really low across the board this week, having "Stuber" come in with an abysmal $7.5m estimate to name one.
Theatres counts haven't come in yet, but ones to keep an eye on (to cut them from your BP list) would be "Men In Black", "Child's Play" and "Godzilla". You may also want to take notes of "Rocketman" and "Avengers: Endgame" to see what kind of holds they make wind up having. That will play heavily into the potential PC this week I would think.
This week sees us having two potential anchor options. You could either go with a "Spider-Man Far From Home"/"Toy Story 4" anchor or a 3 times "Toy Story 4" option. Your BP will dictate which one to go with.