Box Office Estimates for June 21-23

Todd Thatcher

Which toys should the FMLers play with this weekend? And which days? Woody and Buzz or the iconic and demonic Chucky?


Todd from www.toddmthatcher.com here bringing you my take on the weekend ahead as Pixar's "Toy Story 4" and horror reboot "Child's Play" roll off the assembly line for our consideration. We also have Luc Besson's action thriller "Anna", which I don't expect to come anywhere near my lineup.


I believe the fourth edition of "Toy Story" will achieve the largest animated debut ever at $191.5 million - above the $182 million accomplished last summer from the same studio's "Incredibles 2". Even with Chucky in the high teens, that easily gives Woody and Buzz the anchor play and I like its Sunday pricing. The holdovers I've paired it with are titles that have all experienced smallish declines in recent weekends.


Most weekends, I stand quite unsure of my lineup. I'll admit to liking this one. That said... it's only Tuesday and let's see if the toys I'm playing with change as the week rolls along.


Here's how I have the selected features performing:


"Toy Story 4" (Friday) - $73 million
"Toy Story 4" (Saturday) - $63.5 million
"Toy Story 4" (Sunday) - $55 million
"Child's Play" - $17.6 million
"Men in Black: International" - $13.1 million
"Aladdin" - $13 million
"The Secret Life of Pets 2" - $12.6 million
"Rocketman" - $6.1 million
"John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum" - $4 million
"Dark Phoenix" - $4 million
"Godzilla: King of the Monsters" - $4 million
"Shaft" - $3.8 million
"Anna" - $3.6 million
"Late Night" - $2.9 million
"Avengers: Endgame" - $2.7 million


And that leaves me with the Sunday play of "Toy Story 4" 2x along with "Rocketman", "John Wick" 4x, and "Endgame". What say you?