Would you like to build a lineup?
Each Thursday I'll give a little breakdown on how to build your lineup with the information readily available to everyone, especially if you don't know where to start.
this can always change pending preview numbers and are by no means a guarantee to win
Another smashing weekend for "Avengers: Endgame" Saturday pulled through as your BP for the weekend and it all came down to filler. That elusive combination was played in a mere 5 cineplexes.
So there's only 1 week left in the Boxoffice Beatdown and it's anyone's game to win except Matthew Berry. :D I'm rooting for any one of the vets to claim the $10,000 prize.
This week is looking to be very interesting. "Avengers: Endgame" finally gets unsplit but enter "Detective Pikachu" to get the split for the weekend. Depending on where your splits lie, you'll be anchoring with either "Avengers: Endgame" or one of the many combinations of "Detective Pikachu". For the splits I'll be using 36.97%/35.66%/27.37% for the Friday, Saturday, Sunday for "Detective Pikachu", in that order.
We've got the builder starting us off $92k for the Bonus Bar this week. I've heard that Android users finally get to experience the Cineplex Builder, Which is fantastic news. This is a great tool to help picture the different types of lineups your estimates give you.
Guyett gives us an ambitious Bonus Bar of $100k. It won't surprise me if a movie meets or exceeds this Bonus Bar, but I also wouldn't be surprised if the Bonus Bar this week falls a little short of that.
BSWhite has had an incredible run so for this year. This week he advises against "Detective Pikachu" Sunday. As with any week, he advocates against a movie being the BP or featuring in the PC, but there's always a way for a movie to sneak in the PC.
When Phil does his Fandango Check, he also includes a Bonus Bar to bade his results from. Usually, it always agrees with the Bonus Bar thread. This week he has set it just a bit lower, at $95k. The takeaways for this week; "Captain Marvel" list a fair amount of showings, enough for Phil to list it as "Getting Dicey" and "Breakthrough" and "Shazam" get the DOA treatment and will most likely not be your BP options.
Sulli always has our backs when it comes to pertinent Drive-In info. This week, he notes that with the way that the Drive-In pairings breakdown, there wouldn't be that much of an effect to push the needle in favor if any one given movie on the slate this week. Basically, you do not need to factor this in for this week.
BOP says that "Avengers: Endgame" will stay on top for the third week in a row, besting "Detective Pikachu" when it comes to boxoffice dollars, but that "Tolkien" will be your BP, way ahead of their next closest two, "The Intruder" and "The Long Shot" respectively.
BOR also feels that "Avengers: Endgame" will beat "Detective Pikachu" however, he had those two a little closer together. BOR believes that "Uglydolls" will have the best value and be your BP, with "The Intruder" being second value and "Tolkien" in third.
Mojo completes the pro trilogy, also having "Avengers: Endgame" making more than "Detective Pikachu" this weekend. They're also advocating for "Tolkien" to crush the competition for BP, "Uglydolls" a distant second and "Avengers: Endgame" an even more distant third.
Looks like Phil was right. "Shazam" got hit hard with theatre counts, losing almost 63%. Also axed were "Breakthrough" and "Captain Marvel", losing 33/34%. One other notable that Phil didn't mention would be "The Curse of La Llorona" which saw a 53% drop in theatres.
This is considered an EVENT weekend. We have Mother's Day this Sunday which will boost certain movies that are female audience centric, especially on Sunday. The question you have to ask yourself is, how much of a boost do these types of movies get to make them playable/BP option. I also have to wonder, can the Lord Of The Rings/Tolkien fan base really give those results using the pro estimates that both BOP and Mojo are projecting? I guess we'll have to wait and see.