Would you like to build a lineup?

Lindsay Chrapko

Each week, I'll give a little breakdown on how to build your lineup with the information readily available to everyone, especially if you don't know where to start.


this can always change pending preview numbers and are by no means a guarantee to win


'Captain Marvel' soared last weekend and if you didn't play her, you lost a considerable amount of precious box office money. Sadly, I banked on the wrong Disney movie and now have a considerable mountain to climb.


So what's everyone talking about this week? 'Avengers: Endgame' is looking to potential crush some box office records this week and everyone but me seems to be going to see it. It's also been split Fri/Sat/Sun. So the big question is what combination of those three days are you going to anchor with? There are a lot of possibilities with Fri/Sat, Fri/Sun, Sat/Sat, Sun/Sun/Sun topping most conversations around the FMLverse. For splitting purposes I've used 42.84%/31.26%/29.90%


Cineplex Builder


Damn. That's a high Bonus Bar to start off with. Pricing has been really aggressive this season, this week is no exception. We're starting off with a Bonus Bar is $226.5k. Depending on how high 'Avengers: Endgame' goes, this is going to be much higher.


Bonus Bar


Guyett has a very healthy Bonus Bar of $240k. I originally thought my maths were off, but this confirms the type of weekend we're heading into.


BSA


BSWhite was trying his luck last week and narrowly escaped defeat. This week, I'm not so sure. With so much going into the anchors (and potential BP) there's a good chance that 'Shazam' sneaks into the PC.


Fandango Check


That's a lot of shows for 'Avengers: Endgame!' Phil is advising that the bottom 6 movies are DOA. Now this doesn't mean they won't be in your Cineplex, it just means the chances of them being BP are low. Also take into consideration that it would be weeks like this week that the BP could potentially not be in your Cineplex if it was from the bottom part of the slate. I'm not saying that this is the case, but it is good to look out for.


Noteworthy Threads


Sulli does a great job when Drive In season starts. There is a very real drive in effect that could help those titles of lesser value sneak their way into a BP position. This is a good report to keep an eye on for the next few months.


for all pro estimates I used the split % mentioned earlier


Boxoffice Pro


Yep, we're looking at potential boxoffice records this weekend. BOP has 'Avengers: Endgame' making $301m this weekend. That said, their top BP contender is 'Penguins' followed by Saturday then Friday. I'm not convinced about 'Penguins'...


Boxoffice Report


BOR thinks 'Captain Marvel' has more in her this week. He has 'Captain Marvel' first, 'Breakthrough' second and Saturday third. Could we see some of that Drive In Effect I mentioned before??


Boxoffice Mojo


Mojo thinks 'Shazam' will be the spillover benefactor this week. It's possible that 'Shazam' will reap the benefits of moviegoers who were unable to see 'Avengers: Endgame.' 'Pet Sematary' takes second followed by Saturday.


Theatre Counts


A lot of gutting going on to make room for the 4662 theatres of 'Avengers: Endgame.' Basically the 6 movies Phil said we're DOA received a TC cut between 47-72%


Filler aside, what you need to decide is what combinations 'Avengers: Endgame' you will anchor with. It may come down to filler this week as to which combo edges out the other if no one day takes BP.