Box Office Estimates for March 22-24

Todd Thatcher

This is "Us" weekend for our FML consideration, but the acclaimed Jordan Peele follow-up to "Get Out" isn't the only newbie entering the fray. And some aren't exactly new. "Apollo 11" finally gets the nod on the slate after weeks of impressive grosses. There's the Julianne Moore led "Gloria Bell" and the 20 year re-release of "Cruel Intentions".

Todd from here bringing you my take on the weekend ahead where I currently believe all the newcomers are a bit overpriced. Don't get me wrong. "Us" has serious potential to outdo my high 40s estimate and my forecast could tick up. I'm not there yet.

I'm rolling with the "Captain" and a holdover hodgepodge this time around, but I'm keeping an eye on the "Us" factor. Here's how I have the selected features performing:

"Us" - $48.8 million
"Captain Marvel" - $36.4 million
"Wonder Park" - $10.4 million
"Five Feet Apart" - $7.7 million
"How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World" - $6.1 million
"Tyler Perry's A Madea Family Funeral" - $4.2 million
"Gloria Bell" - $2 million
"No Manches Frida 2" - $2 million
"Captive State" - $1.3 million
"The Lego Movie 2: The Second Part" - $1.2 million
"Alita: Battle Angel" - $1 million
"Apollo 11" - $981,000
"Cruel Intentions" - $864,000
"Isn't It Romantic" - $634,000
"Green Book" - $602,000

And that leaves me playing the "Captain" 2x along with "Five Feet Apart", "Dragon", "Lego", and "Romantic" 3x. What say you?