Box Office Estimates for December 14-16

Todd Thatcher

Could two superheroes rule the FML-verse as Christmas offerings begin in earnest this weekend? That's certainly possible as the critically acclaimed animated "Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse" and "Once Upon a Deadpool" (a PG-13 version of this summer's "Deadpool 2" with a few minutes of new footage) debut.


Todd from www.toddmthatcher.com here bringing you my take on the weekend ahead. We also have Clint Eastwood's "The Mule" and Peter Jackson-penned dystopian adventure "Mortal Engines" premiering.


First off, I expect Spidey to be our anchor and my high 40s estimate could climb higher. "Deadpool" is much more of a mystery. If I put it above $6 million, it's a factor. I'm just not yet convinced that its 525 theater count and competition from that other hero will get it there. Luckily it opens Wednesday, so we should have a good idea come lock time.


It's tricky to underestimate Eastwood in front of the camera, but my mid to high teens take on "Mule" leaves it out. "Engines" looks to be a costly flop, but my low teens projection gives it some exposure on my screen.


With the caveat that Mr. Pool could enter the mix, this weekend appears to be choosing leftover filler to pair with the webslinger. Here's how I have the selected features performing:


"Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse" - $48.4 million
"The Mule" - $17.6 million
"Mortal Engines" - $13.4 million
"The Grinch" - $10.5 million
"Ralph Breaks the Internet" - $9.7 million
"Creed II" - $5.4 million
"Once Upon a Deadpool" - $4.2 million
"Bohemian Rhapsody" - $3.9 million
"Instant Family" - $3.8 million
"The Favourite" - $3.7 million
"Green Book" - $3.4 million
"Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald" - $3.3 million
"Robin Hood" - $1.8 million
"Widows" - $1.7 million
"A Star Is Born" - $1.3 million


And that leaves me swinging with Spidey and those "Mortal Engines" along with "Instant Family" and a 5x "Green Book" play. What say you?