Awards Week 10: Pro Forecasts, Lineups

@fmlnerd · FML Nerd
Jan 31, 2017, 7:29pm PSTEdited

Awards Week 10: Pro Forecasts, Lineups


Below is a collection of forecasts and links to the Lineup Calculator given those forecasts (unforecasted films set to their Monday defaults) to see if a pattern emerges.


Lineup Summary


Todd Thatcher: 2x Rings + 4x Monster Trucks + 2x Moana
Deadline: 6x TSBU + Sing + The Founder
ProBoxOffice: Split + 7x XXX
BoxOfficeReport: 3x Hidden Figures + Rogue One + 4x Monster Trucks
BoxOfficeMojo: Rings + 7x XXX


MovieTickets.com "Trending Now" as of:


2/21 8:25p PST: 50 Shades Darker (12%), Rings (6%), Hidden Figures (6%), Split (6%), A Dog's Purpose (6%)


Conclusion:


Wow, who saw that 7x XXX thing coming in what is already a testosterone-soaked weekend? And what's up with 50 Shades Darker presales? I couldn't make it through the original when I was getting it for free on HBO in a hotel room.


FWIW, 6x TSBU lineups were high on the list for both BOM and PBO and I was leaning that way until I saw the reviews. I have no freaking clue right now.


Details below, updated as possible.


Todd Thatcher
-------------
Article
https://fantasymovieleague.com/posts/2096/week-10-box-office-estimates


Lineup Calculator
http://analyzer.fmlnerd.com/lineups/?ests=20300000,14400000,12500000,10700000,8300000,6700000,4800000,5700000,4000000,3900000,3000000,2300000,1700000,1500000,1200000


Lineup
2x Rings + 4x Monster Trucks + 2x Moana


Deadline
--------
http://deadline.com/2017/02/rings-split-space-between-us-super-bowl-weekend-box-office-1201899639/


Lineup Calculator (high end set for each forecast)
http://analyzer.fmlnerd.com/lineups/?ests=14000000,14000000,12000000,8495000,7451000,10000000


Lineup
6x TSBU + Sing + The Founder


ProBoxOffice.com
Article
http://pro.boxoffice.com/weekend-forecast-rings-space-us/


Lineup Calculator
http://analyzer.fmlnerd.com/lineups/?ests=10500000,13500000,9700000,9100000,8800000,6250000,4967000,4490000,4490000,4300000,3160000


Lineup
Split + 7x XXX


BoxOfficeReport.com
Article
http://www.boxofficereport.com/predictions/predictions20170201.html


Lineup Calculator
http://analyzer.fmlnerd.com/lineups/?ests=11200000,14000000,11000000,10800000,8500000,6500000,4800000,5000000,4300000,3700000,3200000,2400000


Lineup
3x Hidden Figures + Rogue One + 4x Monster Trucks


BoxOfficeMojo
Article
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=4264&p=.htm


Lineup Calculator
http://analyzer.fmlnerd.com/lineups/?ests=13200000,1400000,11100000,10000000,8300000,6200000,3600000,5700000,4400000,4600000


Lineup
Rings + 7x XXX

21 Replies

  • Reply #1

    please pin this because it gets lost with the super important posts about people complaining that people complain too much

    @copeynyc · Neo maxi zoom dweebie
    Feb 1, 2017, 8:46am PST
  • Reply #2

    It's in the megathread...

    @undecided_voter · Jason Momoa for President △
    Feb 1, 2017, 8:47am PST
  • Reply #3

    Lol. Nothing yet. The pros are just as dumbfounded this week as well it seems.

    @wrong_way · Wrong Way Cinema
    Feb 1, 2017, 8:58am PST
  • Reply #4

    BSA is now up, so the Pro's know where to go with Rings..... :)

    @bswhite · BSwhite's Spoonful Of Sugarplex
    Feb 1, 2017, 9:15am PST
  • Reply #5
    @schoolofrock · School of Rock
    Feb 1, 2017, 10:38am PST
  • Reply #6

    When does BOR come out?

    @dead_et · Dead ET's Drive-In (R)
    Feb 1, 2017, 12:01pm PST
  • Reply #7

    Bump for Deadline update, although take it with a grain of salt given that they only forecasted 4 films.


    @Dead-ET: BOR usually comes in between 5p and 7p Pacific each Wednesday.

    @fmlnerd · FML Nerd
    Feb 1, 2017, 1:33pm PST
  • Reply #8

    Thanks!

    @dead_et · Dead ET's Drive-In (R)
    Feb 1, 2017, 1:40pm PST
  • Reply #9

    I've had the deadline lineup as my Monday coma lineup

    @user3npp5k · Planet of the Snapes Multiplex
    Feb 1, 2017, 3:20pm PST
  • Reply #10

    Not sure if that's good or not?

    @dead_et · Dead ET's Drive-In (R)
    Feb 1, 2017, 3:28pm PST
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