Below is a collection of forecasts and links to the Lineup Calculator given those forecasts (unforecasted films set to their Monday defaults) to see if a pattern emerges.
Lineup Summary
Todd Thatcher: 7x LLL + Sing Deadline: ADP x6 + The Founder + blank ProBoxOffice: ADP x6 + The Founder + blank BoxOfficeReport: ADP x6 + The Founder + blank BoxOfficeMojo: ADP x6 + The Founder + blank
I've only been doing this a couple of weeks, but this is the first time there's been consensus like this among the pros. That doesn't necessarily lead me to believe that that's what will actually happen, but it's interesting nonetheless.
it is getting more difficult to trust my gut and avoid ADP. i mean....in this country people care about animals more than humans but when the movie has the accusations this one had.....i just don't know.
I don't think I've ever seen a movie's momentum zig and then zag as severely as A Dog's Purpose's has. Right now I'm just hoping that someone put in a 6 x ADP, 1 x Founder, 1 x Blank cineplex before 8:04 on Monday, because I had it in at that time, but switched away from it.
Awards Week 9: Pro Forecasts, Lineups
Awards Week 9: Pro Forecasts, Lineups
Below is a collection of forecasts and links to the Lineup Calculator given those forecasts (unforecasted films set to their Monday defaults) to see if a pattern emerges.
Lineup Summary
Todd Thatcher: 7x LLL + Sing
Deadline: ADP x6 + The Founder + blank
ProBoxOffice: ADP x6 + The Founder + blank
BoxOfficeReport: ADP x6 + The Founder + blank
BoxOfficeMojo: ADP x6 + The Founder + blank
FWIW, MovieTickets.com "Trending Now" as of:
1/26 1:15p Pacific: 11% Split, 10% LLL, 8% ADP
1/26 7:40p Pacific: 11% Split, 9% LLL, 9% ADP
Conclusion:
I've only been doing this a couple of weeks, but this is the first time there's been consensus like this among the pros. That doesn't necessarily lead me to believe that that's what will actually happen, but it's interesting nonetheless.
Details below, updated as possible.
Todd Thatcher
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Article
https://fantasymovieleague.com/posts/2066/week-9-box-office-estimates
Lineup Calculator
http://analyzer.fmlnerd.com/lineups/?ests=18500000,14600000,12800000,10300000,8900000,9900000,5600000,5400000,4600000,4500000,3400000,3300000,2200000,1700000,1500000
Lineup
7x LLL + Sing
Deadline
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Article
http://deadline.com/2017/01/split-dogs-purpose-gold-resident-evil-box-office-preview-1201894314/
Lineup Calculator (high end set for each forecast)
http://analyzer.fmlnerd.com/lineups/?ests=20000000,15000000,14674000,18000000,10000000
Lineup
ADP x6 + The Founder + blank
ProBoxOffice.com
Article
http://pro.boxoffice.com/weekend-forecast-resident-evil-final-chapter-dogs-purpose-gold/
Lineup Calculator
http://analyzer.fmlnerd.com/lineups/?ests=16500000,15500000,12600000,17500000,8660000,11400000,5850000,3750000,4600000,4330000
Lineup
ADP x6 + The Founder + blank
BoxOfficeReport.com
Article
http://www.boxofficereport.com/predictions/predictions20170125.html
Lineup Calculator
http://analyzer.fmlnerd.com/lineups/?ests=23000000,13500000,15000000,19000000,9500000,14000000,5700000,3200000,4200000,5200000,2800000,3500000
Lineup
ADP x6 + The Founder + blank
BoxOfficeMojo
Article
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=4262&p=.htm
Lineup Calculator
http://analyzer.fmlnerd.com/lineups/?ests=18800000,12200000,11600000,18000000,11000000,10000000,5400000,4100000,3500000,4000000
Lineup
ADP x6 + The Founder + blank
29 Replies
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Reply #1
@henrythehedgehog · Henry the Hedgehog Jan 25, 2017, 2:10pm PST -
Reply #2
@user2am79y · Astotti Jan 25, 2017, 2:29pm PST -
Reply #3
@fmlnerd · FML Nerd Jan 25, 2017, 4:18pm PST -
Reply #4
@legitalt1985 · The Legit Alternate 1985 Jan 25, 2017, 4:25pm PST -
Reply #5
@user4p8al6 · I Need a Home Jan 25, 2017, 4:28pm PST -
Reply #6
@dead_et · Dead ET's Drive-In (R) Jan 25, 2017, 5:19pm PST -
Reply #7
@fmlnerd · FML Nerd Jan 25, 2017, 6:00pm PST -
Reply #8
@bdc · Billion Dollar Cineplex △ Jan 25, 2017, 6:49pm PST -
Reply #9
@bswhite · BSwhite 1970's Discoplex Jan 25, 2017, 7:02pm PST -
Reply #10
@user3npp5k · Planet of the Snapes Multiplex Jan 25, 2017, 7:49pm PST
Add ReplyMan everyone is all about this TBD movie... I've never even heard of it...
Might have to abandon the hedge for 8x TBD this week Henry
Bump for PBO forecast, which is completely buying ADP
it is getting more difficult to trust my gut and avoid ADP. i mean....in this country people care about animals more than humans but when the movie has the accusations this one had.....i just don't know.
ProBO's % change column is all kinds of wacked.
I only listen to BOR!
Bump for BOR, which feels the same as PBO
I don't think I've ever seen a movie's momentum zig and then zag as severely as A Dog's Purpose's has. Right now I'm just hoping that someone put in a 6 x ADP, 1 x Founder, 1 x Blank cineplex before 8:04 on Monday, because I had it in at that time, but switched away from it.
I think that this is going to be one heck of a showdown for BP this weekend, and the side that wins could put a $40 mil swing on the side that loses.
You really think 40mil?
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