Thursday numbers

@user3n9dr4 · cdelgado6's Cineplex
Sep 21, 2016, 9:36am PDT

So what are we looking at for Storks and M7.
Seems to be a select few that crunch the numbers so much better than anything I could dream of doing?

22 Replies

  • Reply #1

    I don't know, can't we wait until tomorrow night?

    @ari · Ari's Amphitheater of Moving Pictures
    Sep 21, 2016, 9:39am PDT
  • Reply #2

    No! I want to know now! Well, OK. I'll wait.

    @user3n9dr4 · cdelgado6's Cineplex
    Sep 21, 2016, 9:43am PDT
  • Reply #3

    I'm sure Storks is gonna be low around 500K( if that). But M7 need to be 3M+ range.

    @askdablkdude · " I know a guy who know a guy" (KOTRT)
    Sep 21, 2016, 9:46am PDT
  • Reply #4

    For M7, consider the following:


    • Mad Max 4: $3.7M Th - $45.4M OW
    • Prometheus: $3.6M Th - $51.1M OW
    • Rise of the Planet of the Apes: $1.4M - $54.8M OW

    M7 is a remake and those are all parts of franchises but there isn't a direct Th comp I could find. If M7 goes over $4M on Th it'll get over $50M for the weekend but between $2M and $4M and its murky.


    For Storks:


    • Ice Age 5: $850k Th - $31.3M OW
    • Angry Birds: $800k Th - $38.2M OW
    • BFG: $780k Th - $22.7M OW

    Again, murkiness.

    @fmlnerd · FML Nerd
    Sep 21, 2016, 10:01am PDT
  • Reply #5

    The comps you use for M7 are all summer movies. September is one of the slowest if not slowest month of the year.

    @askdablkdude · " I know a guy who know a guy" (KOTRT)
    Sep 21, 2016, 10:03am PDT
  • Reply #6

    Sorry Nerd, I don't like any of those comps. Summer is so different from Fall for Thursdays

    @ari · Ari's Amphitheater of Moving Pictures
    Sep 21, 2016, 10:11am PDT
  • Reply #7

    So when M7 comes in at 1.2M what does that mean to everyone......

    @hmg · Hoosier Movie Guy
    Sep 21, 2016, 10:25am PDT
  • Reply #8

    The hard part about the Th data is that there isn't that much of it. Its nearly impossible to find a comp that matches genre, season, and projected revenue every week. In my case, I relaxed on season which is admittedly not ideal but better than a WAG.

    @fmlnerd · FML Nerd
    Sep 21, 2016, 10:27am PDT
  • Reply #9

    I've found it's better to be stricter on season (though Fall and part of Winter and early Spring can be similar) and relax genre a bit, and even relax on size and just look at the multiple

    @ari · Ari's Amphitheater of Moving Pictures
    Sep 21, 2016, 10:28am PDT
  • Reply #10

    What were the numbers on The Equalizer?

    @furiosa · Sir Julius
    Sep 21, 2016, 10:29am PDT
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