House Account Picks for Awards Week 1

@akvalley · Valley of Disaster △
Dec 4, 2019, 8:42pm PSTEdited

I'm making a fun little experiment of mine public. It may or may not be helpful to your game play.


At the start of every week, I calculate the average box office for each movie based on its BUX (+/- 10%) and its season (Awards / Spring / Summer / Fall). There are no other considerations.
EXAMPLE: Frozen 2 is priced at $556 for week 1 of Awards 2020. Looking back through time, there have been 21 movies priced between $500 (-10%) and $612 (+10%) in the previous Awards seasons. The average box office of these 21 movies is $43,572,195 placing the value at 80,284.


I've created an alt account called "House Account" to make this data public and put it in play in these leagues Season Showdown, FML League, Discord League, and /r/movies.
https://fantasymovieleague.com/u/houseaccount


UPDATE: There now a league dedicated to this!
Can You Beat the House?
https://fantasymovieleague.com/league/45414/
password: yes


Because I am created this so late, it does not start until week 2 of the FML Awards season, giving late comers time to join in on the fun.


And these are HA's picks for Awards Week 1:

  1. Frozen 2 -- 43572195 Tie Breaker
  2. Knives Out -- 14630518
  3. Queen & Slim -- 6844716
  4. Ford v Ferrari -- 6844716
  5. A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood -- 6433031
  6. Dark Waters -- 3748708
  7. Playmobil: The Movie -- 3731529
  8. 21 Bridges -- 2775446
  9. Playing with Fire -- 2317533
  10. Midway -- 2145550
  11. Joker -- 1226234 Best Performer
  12. Harriet -- 915068
  13. Last Christmas -- 915068
  14. The Good Liar -- 640276
  15. Maleficent: Mistress of Evil -- 369661


Lineup:
1x Frozen 2, 1x Knives Out, 1x Ford v Ferrari, 1x A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood, 4x Joker
Cost $993
Total Box Office $84,385,396


Analyzer
https://mooveepicker.azurewebsites.net/Home/Index?bo=43572195,14630518,6844716,6844716,6433031,3748708,3731529,2775446,2317533,2145550,1226234,915068,915068,640276,369661&wl=1,0,0,0,0,0,0


Can you beat the House this week? HA!


@akvalley

16 Replies

  • Reply #1

    This will be fun to follow!

    @b_rad · Bradimus Prime
    Dec 4, 2019, 8:57pm PST
  • Reply #2

    Interesting take. It will be cool to see how this plays out

    @william_fn_wallace · The Governo(R)
    Dec 5, 2019, 5:15am PST
  • Reply #3

    When reading this:
    source.gif


    When thinking about it further:
    source.gif


    After doing my first run at the numbers:
    giphy.gif

    @fourthwall · Fourth Wall
    Dec 5, 2019, 5:22am PST
  • Reply #4
    1. Queen & Slim -- 6844716
    2. Ford v Ferrari -- 6844716


    Lineup:
    1x Frozen 2, 1x Knives Out, 1x Ford v Ferrari, 1x A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood, 4x Joker
    Cost $993


    You do mean 1x Frozen 2, 1x Knives Out, 1x Queen and Slim, 1x A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood, 4x Joke right?

    @fourthwall · Fourth Wall
    Dec 5, 2019, 5:34am PST
  • Reply #5

    This is a cool idea, can't wait to see how good(or bad) it does!!

    @eljbr19 · WishcasteR
    Dec 5, 2019, 5:35am PST
  • Reply #6
    1. Queen & Slim -- 6844716
    2. Ford v Ferrari -- 6844716



    You do mean 1x Frozen 2, 1x Knives Out, 1x Queen and Slim, 1x A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood, 4x Joker right?


    I see your point, both Spilled Milk's Analyzer AND Ken B. Miller's Analyer picked FvF instead of Q&S, probably because of the alphabetical order -- FvF comes fiirst in the alphabet. In the future, I will double check this and go with the higher ranked movie.

    @akvalley · Valley of Disaster △
    Dec 5, 2019, 6:07am PST
  • Reply #7

    This looks fun!


    Anyway you could make this into a league we could join? Like BSA vs FML style?

    @quesadilla · Make Yourself a Dang Quesadilla
    Dec 5, 2019, 7:51am PST
  • Reply #8

    Thanks for all of the response and interest. I created a league called "Can You Beat the House?"


    https://fantasymovieleague.com/league/45414/
    password: yes


    Because I am created this so late, it does not start until week 2 of the FML Awards season, giving late comers time to join in on the fun.

    @akvalley · Valley of Disaster △
    Dec 5, 2019, 3:08pm PST
  • Reply #9

    @akvalley Thanks for all you do for FML. Your're the man!

    @quesadilla · Make Yourself a Dang Quesadilla
    Dec 5, 2019, 4:14pm PST
  • Reply #10

    I will take a look!! ANYBODY who uses MooVee Picker is AWESOME in my book.



    @batman · Spilled Milk Cinema
    Dec 5, 2019, 6:15pm PSTEdited
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