Week 12 Spring 2019 Prediction Competition

@furiosa · Furiosa
May 15, 2019, 7:17pm PDT

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Hey guys, Furiosa here with the prediction competition, where we all strive to be better than the pros we seem to follow for some reason. Let's check in on how our contenders did for the eleventh week of the 2019 Spring Season.


To compete each week, just post your prediction to the 15 movies on FML's slate to the spreadsheet linked here, the form linked here, or on this thread. If you want to wait until after the lineup lock deadline to post your estimates because you don't want to reveal anything, go ahead, just make sure to have them up by Friday 2:00 PM EST. It's never too late to join!


Spreadsheet: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1da_Pgm3rE3e1kUyULqKTyicawmwejrCtZtvUn9MzOsc/edit?usp=sharing


Oh look, we have a form now!


Form: https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLScPeqIfy8QtVYJIc64ZvPHrF_a45zisjYBNzMaaoJb8DW3l1A/viewform?usp=pp_url


Also of note: Movies are listed by PRICE, so be careful when entering in your estimates if the movies cost the same. Don't forget to enter if you don't see your name.


Week 11 Recap: The average overall score this week was 75.17, our lowest of the season. Shazam was collectively our best guess (0.33% error) while Tolkien was our lowest (74.83%).


Season Outlook: Sweep the Leg maintains the #1 spot in overall rankings. Exxdee and Something Clever second and third place. Blinkh87 and BDC round out the top 5.


Pros Outlook: BOR is ranked 24th overall out of 46 players. BOP is ranked 31st while Mojo is ranked 32nd.


Week 11 Scores


Overall Score Top 5

  1. Chocoplex: 86.21
  2. Blinkh87: 85.00
  3. Plexy: 84.98
  4. Sweep the Leg: 84.66
  5. Exxdee: 84.63


New Releases Top 5

  1. Plexy: 86.48
  2. Exxdee: 84.27
  3. Mega_Plex: 83.10
  4. BB: 82.09
  5. Something Clever: 81.87


Holdovers Top 5

  1. Chocoplex: 90.98
  2. Devil: 89.53
  3. Sweep the Leg: 89.14
  4. Blinkh87: 88.69
  5. Particular Set of Movie Skills: 87.55


Expansions Top 5

  1. BB: 99.45
  2. Ser Bastian: 99.45
  3. Dduck: 99.45
  4. Just Jeff: 97.78
  5. BDC: 96.45


Season Scores


Total Score Top 5

  1. Sweep the Leg: 88.61
  2. Exxdee: 88.38
  3. Something Clever: 88.37
  4. Blinkh87: 88.34
  5. BDC: 87.60


New Releases Top 5

  1. Exxdee: 86.67
  2. Something Clever: 86.05
  3. Blinkh87: 85.84
  4. Sweep the Leg: 85.68
  5. Plexy: 85.63


Holdovers Top 5

  1. Sweep the Leg: 90.07
  2. Blinkh87: 89.69
  3. Something Clever: 89.46
  4. Flops: 89.30
  5. Exxdee: 89.15


Expansions Top 5

  1. Exxdee: 85.73
  2. BB: 85.40
  3. Plexy: 84.69
  4. Devil: 84.30
  5. Something Clever: 84.27


Movie

Closest Guess

Difference

Closest Guesser


Avengers: Endgame

$61,557,750
$1,742,154

Lurker


Detective Pikachu FRI

$20,500,000
$75,704
The Hersh


Detective Pikachu
SAT
$20,250,974 $114,866

Mega_Plex


Detective Pikachu SUN

$13,181,354
$242,344

JustJeff


The Hustle

$13,200,000
$192,291

BB


Poms

$5,350,000

$11,937
Ser Bastian


Long Shot

$6,248,395

$23,137
Dubs


The Intruder

$6,052,725

$1,137,600

Guyett


Uglydolls

$4,200,000

$52,908
Devil


Tolkien
$2,807,792

$607,255

Plexy


Captain Marvel

$1,884,187

$37,791
Broken Palantír


Breakthrough

$2,594,870

$19,607
Blinkh87


Shazam!
$1,001,983

$31,203
Broken Palantír


The Curse of La Llorona
$1,629,147

$222,575

AvalonPC


Student of the Year 2

$465,000

$2,892

biff





Good luck!
Image courtesy of Something Clever

2 Replies

  • Reply #1

    It seems my enthusiasm for a certain movie has vaulted me from the top 5. #FacePOM

    @20thcentury_flops · 20th Century Flops
    May 15, 2019, 9:46pm PDT
  • Reply #2

    bump, so everyone can experience the carnage that will be this weekend

    @lurker · Still Showing The End of Evangelion
    May 17, 2019, 10:15am PDT
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