Pros Before OW's - Grinch week

@bb · BB ◬
Nov 5, 2018, 10:47pm PST

Welcome to Pros Before OW's!


Calling all movie prognosticators who can out-predict the pros! The newest game to hit the FML side game circuit is the simplest one yet, but it will test your ability to gauge the momentum that films can build leading up to their opening weekend and how deep they can carry it into their domestic run. Yet, in this game all you have to do is simply project where movies finish vs. their long range tracking. The game is divided into two parts.


In the first phase of the game you are looking at movies that are ready to hit theaters this upcoming weekend. You are attempting to peg where these new movies will finish their total domestic run in relation to the final estimate Pro Box Office gives for their total domestic gross. Your options to choose from are: below -30%, -30 to -10%, -10 to 10%, 10 to 30%, above 30% their final LRF for total gross. At the end of each movie's domestic run the results will be tallied up, so scoring will take a while to develop. You receive 1 point for correctly guessing -10 to 10%, 2 points for correctly guessing -30 to -10% or 10 to 30%, and 3 points for correctly picking either below -30% or above 30%.


The second phase of the game focuses on films building momentum for their OW release. In this half of the game you are looking at movies that have appeared on the LRF report for the first time and are guessing the % change from the initial OW forecast to the final OW forecast in long range tracking. Your prediction options are the same as the first phase: below -30%, -30 to -10%, -10 to 10%, 10 to 30%, above 30%. You also receive 1 point for correctly guessing -10 to 10%, 2 points for correctly guessing -30 to -10% or 10 to 30%, and 3 points for correctly picking either below -30% or above 30%. Scoring will also take a while here, as most films appear on long range tracking about eight weeks before they debut.


Entries will close each week on Thursday night at approximately 10 pm PT. No penalties or scores will be given for missed weeks, but, with just a few points available each week, missing here and there should not set you back too much. In the event that a movie has its release date drastically changed after first appearing on tracking it will be scrubbed from the contest. Our trial season will run through the calendar year and a new season will begin in January, which will likely be a 6 month contest.


https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSfQoPzm2KtNsoRljKi3qiOa-qb7-51IW1PmI_qHuqM1wCCZ_g/viewform


to view the LRF tracker go to: https://tinyurl.com/yd6qzhbx

3 Replies

  • Reply #1

    I hace not seen any of the movies above

    @useravw7ak · celeste's Cineplex
    Nov 5, 2018, 11:58pm PST
  • Reply #2

    That's because none of them have released yet! So you're guessing their gross before they hit theaters.

    @bb · BB ◬
    Nov 6, 2018, 8:27am PST
  • Reply #3

    B-bump

    @bb · BB ◬
    Nov 8, 2018, 11:49am PST
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